PALACEFATE
×
N
nine-of-clubs
How do you predict the future?
What do you pay attention to?
No bio yet.
$1,224.88
Net Worth
1
Positions
2
Comments
Positions
Active (1)
Closed (63)
Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals
Will Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
YES
28.0 shares
avg 191¢
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
LA MUDANZA
NO
Closed
+$0.46 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
PERRO NEGRO
NO
Closed
+$1.17 realized
Big Game: Safety?
Will there be a safety in Super Bowl LX?
NO
Closed
+$0.17 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Yonaguni
NO
Closed
+$1.26 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Orange
NO
Closed
+$0.60 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Callaita
YES
Closed
-$1.82 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
NUEVAYOL
NO
Closed
+$0.28 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
MIA
YES
Closed
+$5.57 realized
Big Game MVP
Kenneth Walker III
NO
Closed
-$2.70 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Concussion
YES
Closed
+$0.72 realized
Big Game MVP
Rhamondre Stevenson
NO
Closed
+$0.09 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
BAILE INOLVIDABLE
YES
Closed
-$0.31 realized
Big Game MVP
Drake Maye
YES
Closed
-$0.81 realized
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points
Will the total points be odd?
YES
Closed
-$1.61 realized
Big Game: Octopus?
Will there be an octopus?
NO
Closed
+$0.13 realized
Big Game MVP
Stefon Diggs
NO
Closed
+$82.29 realized
Big Game: Coin Toss
Heads?
YES
Closed
+$1.50 realized
Big Game: First Team To Score
Seattle Seahawks score first?
NO
Closed
-$1.00 realized
Big Game: Scorigami?
Will the final score be a scorigami?
NO
Closed
+$0.18 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
Titi Me Pregunto
YES
Closed
+$8.42 realized
Big Game: Overtime?
Will Super Bowl LX go to overtime?
NO
Closed
+$0.22 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
I Like It
YES
Closed
+$4.09 realized
Big Game MVP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
NO
Closed
+$11.28 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Mark Zuckerberg
NO
Closed
+$1.75 realized
Big Game MVP
Sam Darnold
NO
Closed
+$0.08 realized
Big Game MVP
Rashid Shaheed
NO
Closed
+$50.96 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Purple
NO
Closed
+$0.17 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Donald Trump
NO
Closed
+$0.06 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Robinhood
YES
Closed
-$0.87 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Green/Yellow
YES
Closed
+$1.36 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
DeepSeek
NO
Closed
+$0.02 realized
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?
Will a player or coach cry during the anthem?
YES
Closed
-$1.86 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Nvidia
NO
Closed
+$0.49 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Allstate
YES
Closed
+$1.63 realized
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?
Will the coin toss winner also win the game?
NO
Closed
+$1.50 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
DAKITI
NO
Closed
+$0.21 realized
Big Game: Big Man TD?
Will a big man score a touchdown?
NO
Closed
+$0.27 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
MONACO
NO
Closed
+$13.47 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Safaera
YES
Closed
+$4.37 realized
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE"?
NO
Closed
+$0.23 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Red/Pink
NO
Closed
+$21.30 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Mahomes
YES
Closed
+$0.57 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Perplexity
NO
Closed
+$7.39 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Neverita
YES
Closed
+$1.71 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
LeBron James
YES
Closed
-$1.46 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Sam Altman
NO
Closed
+$2.63 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Coinbase
YES
Closed
+$8.71 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Me Porto Bonito
NO
Closed
+$0.96 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Blue
YES
Closed
+$0.32 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Taylor Swift
YES
Closed
+$0.15 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
X / xAI
NO
Closed
+$8.35 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Now here's a guy
NO
Closed
+$1.86 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Jeff Bezos
NO
Closed
+$4.72 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Bill Belichick
YES
Closed
+$1.35 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Elon Musk
YES
Closed
+$2.36 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Crypto
NO
Closed
+$7.56 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Polymarket
NO
Closed
+$6.65 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
ICE / Border Patrol
NO
Closed
+$3.38 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Trump
YES
Closed
+$3.17 realized
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds
Under 119.5 seconds?
YES
Closed
+$1.00 realized
Big Game Champion 2026
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX?
YES
Closed
+$0.48 realized
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Will Bad Bunny wear a dress or skirt?
NO
Closed
+$0.46 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Apple
NO
Closed
+$0.50 realized
Recent Comments
CPI: January 2026 Month-over-Month
32d ago
CPI >0.2% at 31.4% overpriced vs disinflationary mechanics. Shelter CPI: 8.2% (Mar 2023) → 4.4% (Dec 2025), Case-Shiller 18mo lag mechanically drags OER lower. Core Services ex-Shelter 3.1% declining. If tomorrow's claims <225k (weather transient validated), wage pressure thesis collapses. Base case +0.16-0.20% Feb 13. Fair 28-32%. Bought NO $18.
28
YES
Will Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals
32d ago
Canada 2nd golds at 33.44% undervalued. EV calc: (0.73 women's hockey + 0.468 men's hockey) = 1.2 base golds. High-prob adds: Stellato-Dudek pairs (2023 world champ, dominant season), Kingsbury moguls (13 World Cup wins + 2× Olympic gold = GOAT), short track 5000m relay (Beijing 2022 defenders). Historical 2010-18: 10.25 avg golds. Clear path to 8-10 golds. Fair 38-45%. Bought YES $28.
Recent Trades
Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals
bought
28
YES
Will Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
@ 191¢
$53.61
32d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3
YES
Trump
@ 163¢
$4.88
35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3
NO
ICE / Border Patrol
@ 176¢
$5.27
35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Polymarket
@ 300¢
$8.99
35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Crypto
@ 333¢
$9.99
35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
YES
Elon Musk
@ 133¢
$3.99
35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
YES
Bill Belichick
@ 94¢
$2.83
35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Jeff Bezos
@ 230¢
$6.89
35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
NO
X / xAI
@ 360¢
$10.79
35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
YES
Taylor Swift
@ 34¢
$1.01
35d ago
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
sold
3
YES
Blue
@ 38¢
$1.13
35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3
NO
Me Porto Bonito
@ 71¢
$2.14
35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
YES
Coinbase
@ 372¢
$11.15
35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Sam Altman
@ 157¢
$4.70
35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3
YES
Neverita
@ 105¢
$3.16
35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Perplexity
@ 327¢
$9.81
35d ago
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
sold
3
NO
Red/Pink
@ 802¢
$24.06
35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3
NO
Apple
@ 41¢
$1.22
35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3
YES
Safaera
@ 213¢
$6.38
35d ago
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
sold
3
NO
MONACO
@ 539¢
$16.16
35d ago
Recent Comments