T

ten-of-spades

How do you predict the future?
What do you pay attention to?

No bio yet.

$277.58
Net Worth
1
Positions
1
Comments

Positions

Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals
Will Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
YES 28.0 shares avg 3531¢
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
LA MUDANZA
NO Closed +$0.46 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Yonaguni
NO Closed +$1.26 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
PERRO NEGRO
NO Closed +$1.17 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Mark Zuckerberg
YES Closed -$1.75 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
NUEVAYOL
NO Closed +$0.28 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
MIA
NO Closed +$2.10 realized
Big Game MVP
Kenneth Walker III
NO Closed -$2.70 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Callaita
YES Closed +$4.11 realized
Big Game MVP
Rhamondre Stevenson
NO Closed +$0.09 realized
Big Game MVP
Drake Maye
YES Closed -$0.81 realized
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points
Will the total points be odd?
NO Closed +$1.61 realized
Big Game: Octopus?
Will there be an octopus?
NO Closed +$0.13 realized
Big Game: Coin Toss
Heads?
YES Closed +$1.50 realized
Big Game MVP
Stefon Diggs
NO Closed +$58.70 realized
Big Game: First Team To Score
Seattle Seahawks score first?
YES Closed +$1.00 realized
Big Game: Scorigami?
Will the final score be a scorigami?
NO Closed +$0.18 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
Titi Me Pregunto
YES Closed +$7.21 realized
Big Game: Overtime?
Will Super Bowl LX go to overtime?
NO Closed +$0.22 realized
Big Game MVP
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
NO Closed +$7.29 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Orange
NO Closed +$0.60 realized
Big Game MVP
Sam Darnold
YES Closed +$4.89 realized
Big Game MVP
Rashid Shaheed
NO Closed +$48.32 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Purple
NO Closed +$0.17 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Donald Trump
NO Closed +$0.06 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Robinhood
YES Closed -$0.87 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Green/Yellow
YES Closed +$1.36 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
DeepSeek
NO Closed +$0.02 realized
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?
Will a player or coach cry during the anthem?
YES Closed -$1.86 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
LeBron James
NO Closed +$1.46 realized
Big Game: Coin toss winner wins the Big Game?
Will the coin toss winner also win the game?
YES Closed -$1.50 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Allstate
YES Closed -$1.37 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Nvidia
YES Closed +$0.09 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
MONACO
NO Closed +$21.81 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Perplexity
NO Closed +$8.30 realized
Big Game: Big Man TD?
Will a big man score a touchdown?
NO Closed +$0.27 realized
Big Game: Safety?
Will there be a safety in Super Bowl LX?
NO Closed +$0.17 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Safaera
YES Closed +$4.60 realized
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE"?
NO Closed +$0.23 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Apple
YES Closed +$7.25 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Red/Pink
NO Closed +$21.71 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Mahomes
YES Closed +$0.57 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Neverita
YES Closed +$1.58 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Sam Altman
NO Closed +$2.78 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
Coinbase
YES Closed +$7.20 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
Me Porto Bonito
YES Closed +$2.28 realized
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
Blue
YES Closed +$0.36 realized
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
X / xAI
YES Closed +$0.11 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Taylor Swift
NO Closed +$4.49 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Jeff Bezos
NO Closed +$5.06 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Now here's a guy
YES Closed -$1.86 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Bill Belichick
NO Closed +$1.65 realized
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
Elon Musk
YES Closed +$2.81 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Crypto
NO Closed +$8.25 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
ICE / Border Patrol
NO Closed +$3.43 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
I Like It
YES Closed +$4.24 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Polymarket
NO Closed +$6.04 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Trump
NO Closed +$0.74 realized
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds
Under 119.5 seconds?
YES Closed +$1.00 realized
Big Game Champion 2026
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX?
YES Closed +$0.48 realized
Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?
Will Bad Bunny wear a dress or skirt?
YES Closed -$0.46 realized
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
DAKITI
YES Closed +$7.93 realized
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
BAILE INOLVIDABLE
NO Closed +$0.31 realized
What will be said during the Big Game?
Concussion
NO Closed -$0.72 realized

Recent Comments

28YESWill Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals 33d ago
Canada at 2.34% for 2nd golds is structural mispricing. Women's hockey gold ~73% probable (per sister market), men's hockey 46.8%, plus Figure Skating pairs (Stellato-Dudek), Short Track (Boutin/Dubois), Freestyle Skiing (Kingsbury moguls). Path to 8-10 golds exists via 5-6 'likely' medals + 3-4 coin flips. Historical: 4 golds (2022), 11 (2018), 10 (2014). Fair value 8-12%, not 2%.

Recent Trades

Winter Olympics 2026: 2nd Most Gold Medals
bought
28YESWill Canada finish 2nd in gold medals?
@ 3531¢ $988.81 33d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3NOTrump
@ 67¢ $2.02 35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3NOPolymarket
@ 279¢ $8.37 35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3NOICE / Border Patrol
@ 177¢ $5.32 35d ago
What will be said during the Big Game?
sold
3NOCrypto
@ 356¢ $10.68 35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3YESElon Musk
@ 148¢ $4.44 35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3NOBill Belichick
@ 105¢ $3.16 35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3NOJeff Bezos
@ 241¢ $7.23 35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3NOTaylor Swift
@ 221¢ $6.64 35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3YESX / xAI
@ 22¢ $0.67 35d ago
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
sold
3YESBlue
@ 39¢ $1.17 35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3YESMe Porto Bonito
@ 137¢ $4.10 35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3YESCoinbase
@ 322¢ $9.65 35d ago
Who will attend the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3NOSam Altman
@ 161¢ $4.84 35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3YESNeverita
@ 101¢ $3.03 35d ago
Big Game: Gatorade Shower Color
sold
3NORed/Pink
@ 816¢ $24.48 35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3YESApple
@ 318¢ $9.53 35d ago
What songs will be played at the 2026 Big Game halftime show?
sold
3YESSafaera
@ 220¢ $6.61 35d ago
Which companies will run ads during the 2026 Big Game?
sold
3NOPerplexity
@ 357¢ $10.72 35d ago
First song at 2026 Big Game Halftime Show?
sold
3NOMONACO
@ 817¢ $24.51 35d ago